|Posted: 17 October 2020 at 9:53am | IP Logged | 5
Current polling in battleground states:
Pennsylvania: Biden up by 8 (53-45)
Florida: Biden up by 3 (48-45, statistical dead heat)
Wisconsin: Biden up by 11 (54-43)
Michigan: Biden up by 8 (52-44)
North Carolina: Biden up by 8 (53-45)
Nevada: Biden up by 9 (54-45)
Georgia: Biden up by 6 (52-46)
Iowa: Biden down 1 (48-49, statistical dead heat)
Texas: Biden down 4 (47-51, statistical dead heat)
Ohio: Biden down 2 (48-50, statistical dead heat)
Even without winning the states that are considered a statistical dead heat where he's down, Biden is poised to win by a lot IF the polling is correct. Polling this year vs 2016 is far different in how they're processed. Plus, with the early voting, some of these number might actually be even stronger for Biden.
If Biden wins all those states I listed above where he's currently leading, he'll have an electoral college win of 338-200. Hilary lost 304-227. A Biden win by that much would definitely signify a resounding loss.