Posted: 16 April 2010 at 12:34pm | IP Logged | 12
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William, I believe the "peace dividend" term was popularized by George Bush Sr. and Maggie Thatcher in the wake of the collapse of the Iron Curtain and the USSR. Of course, it had a long history before that. The benefit of a peace dividend is that it allows resources to be reallocated to different parts of the economy. I'm a firm believer in the military and national security, but investments in that sector generally do not create wealth. Protect wealth, most certainly, and there are notable spin-offs from military research (most recent satellite navigation and the internet), but such spinoffs are more exceptions and by-products. At the very least, reductions in military spending due to easing international tensions allow for reductions in the deficit. Or those dollars can be spent on improvements to the infrastructure that would benefit the GNP / GDP. (It should be noted the interstate highway system, for example, was a military project but has lead to tremendous economic spinoffs and bettered the common wealth.) As for the Workforce Investment Act, I cannot speak for the rest of the country, but in Shasta County it did not move people off the welfare rolls and into minimum wage jobs. There were serious retraining efforts, job skills development and placement services. There was a lot of good work done and much success. I know firsthand, having worked for the local community employment center as a labour analysis. The key benefit of welfare reform is helping people become tax generators versus tax recipients. I'll use a purposefully simplified example to illustrate the point. Let's assume we have an able-bodied individual who can earn the equivalent of $10 per hour on whatever social assistance program we want to use. Thus, that person has a disincentive to take an job paying less than $10 an hour (because they make that on social assistance) and a marginal disincentive for taking a job paying between, say, $10 to $15 per hour because of the limited financial benefit personally gained in return for the labour involved. If this person does not have $15 an hour and up skills, we've effective frozen them out of the labour pool. So, what if we start of program that says to qualify for social assistance a recipient needs to provide, say, 10 hours of community service or volunteer work per week. By doing so, that person learns skills, makes contacts, contributes back to society and begins to put themselves into a position where they might be able to re-enter the workforce in time. Or, what if we start a program where that person gets a $10 a hour job, and we supplement the wage at $15 per hour? We've got that person back into the labour pool, they are developing skills and experience, contributing to the economy and we've cut the cost of their social assistance in half, lessening the cost to government. Or, what if we start a program that in return for social assistance that person has to undergo government-paid job training and skills development so they can qualify for a $20 a hour job. For a short-term investment we got someone contributing to the economy and completely eliminated their social assistance, lessening the cost to government. Essentially, the above was the Workforce Investment Act, in microcosm. It wasn't, to paraphrase your note, people getting their spending money from a different source. Rather, in each case you had increased productivity -- services getting delivered, things getting made -- that contributes to the betterment of the overall economy and society. By the way, William, I'd like to point out that in my original message I didn't frame the discussion as "Republican vs. Democrat" as you seem to have in your reply. I think that kind of Red/Blue thinking gets things off track. I'm not trying to make partisan points for either side but just deal in terms of simple economics. Let's leave the parties and the political personalities out of it and instead look at the economic factors and formula.
Edited by Matthew McCallum on 16 April 2010 at 1:03pm
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