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Geoff Gibson Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 21 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 5744
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 2:50pm | IP Logged | 1
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2012? Boy, I find it hard to imagine a Republican is going to be successful with that kind of stuff anytime in the next decade. If McCain loses, I think the next Republican President will have to be a Eisenhower/Nixon moderate who backs away from all this legislated morality crap and focuses on fiscal responsibility. Kind of like John McCain before he started taking all the bad advice. If McCain loses I find it very hard to imagine Palin will get the nomination in four years.
I disagree. The economy will be blamed and McCain will be viewed as too liberal. I think Sarah Palin (and social conservatives like her) is the future of the party. As a republican I feel so distanced and disenfranchised by the party it could be coloring my view and prognostication.
Edited by Geoff Gibson on 21 October 2008 at 2:55pm
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Bruce Buchanan Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 14 June 2006 Location: United States Posts: 4797
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 2:55pm | IP Logged | 2
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I also agree with Jason that a successful Republican strategy for 2012 (and the mid-term elections in 2010) needs to focus on fiscal responsibility, smaller government, lower taxes and a strong national defense and not the "3G's" (God, Guns and Gays) of the social conservatives.
In other words, the party needs to get back to the types of issues that used to be core Republican values. Maybe a defeat next month will serve as a wake-up call, much as the Democrats got tired of seeing liberals like Walter Mondale and Michael Dukakis get pummelled in the presidential races and nominated Bill Clinton, a moderate, in 1992.
(Of course, the Dems promptly forgot that strategy and nominated liberals each of the past three elections. But there's no doubt in my mind that Clinton was exactly the type of candidate the Democrats needed in order to win. This year, it may be the GOP's turn to rethink its approach.)
Edited by Bruce Buchanan on 21 October 2008 at 3:00pm
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Geoff Gibson Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 21 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 5744
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 3:00pm | IP Logged | 3
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I'd love that Bruce but I think the Social Conservatives are too entrenched now. Also I wonder how this economic crisis will change american views on the role of government and business. Depending on the depth of the crisis it could be significant which would cause changes within the party as well for purely political reasons.
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Donald Miller Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 03 February 2005 Location: United States Posts: 3597
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 3:16pm | IP Logged | 4
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Geoff, we agree . I am afraid, and I feel sorry for those Republicans that are fiscal conservatives but think the government should should stay out of peoples' lives otherwise. You know...old school republicans.
D.
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Jodi Moisan Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 19 February 2008 Location: United States Posts: 6808
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 3:19pm | IP Logged | 5
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As a democrat I want a strong military, I want the best equiped, best trained and most cared for military. I just do not want their willingness to serve to be used in conflicts that are built on lies. I want lower taxes, we made too much to get the stimulus check and under Obama our taxes will go up, but I do think we live in an amazing country and I do not mind my taxes being used to make life better for those that aren't doing as well. I feel like when we lift people up, we all benefit. I want the arts supported because it enriches our lives. I do have a problem with pork barrel spending and bridges to nowhere. I think most republicans and democrats aren't that far apart, we all want a better life and the best America it can be.
We have to stand up to the fringe in both parties and say enough is enough. It's just the republicans turn to do it.
Geoff your story about your Pop was very touching.
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F. Ron Miller Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 16 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 1289
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 3:20pm | IP Logged | 6
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Then what becomes of what is now the bedrock 23% of the party? That's a
lot of coalition to disenfranchise --made harder during a re-franchising
period. I'm not of the right but from my perspective they've put themselves
in a tough corner. It's not one that can be left easily.
Should the Republican party lose the presidential election, I expect there will
be a crushing period of demoralization and finger-pointing as to what went
wrong. (At least that's how the Democrats do it) I'd love to see them
abandon or move past some of the extreme social positions they've fortified
over the years. They can do it and the better part of their constituency would
support it. Good luck with the evangelical crowd though. They won't let
themselves be thrown under the bus that easily.
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Geoff Gibson Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 21 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 5744
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 3:23pm | IP Logged | 7
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Geoff your story about your Pop was very touching.
Thanks. He was very dear to me. I am proud to be his grandson.
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Scott Richards Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 22 September 2005 Posts: 1258
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 4:09pm | IP Logged | 8
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I think its the start of Palin's 2012 run.
I think it's highly likely. The Republicans will see a McCain failure as a result of McCain being too moderate. I wouldn't be surprised to see Clinton vs. Palin in 2012 since I don't think the next President, whether it's Obama or McCain, will be a 2 term President.
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Scott Richards Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 22 September 2005 Posts: 1258
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 4:13pm | IP Logged | 9
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under Obama our taxes will go up
Jodi, you have no idea how surprising it was to hear you say that. Most Obama supporters I know at work and on other forums believe their taxes will be lower and stay lower than it is now, under Obama. That's just an impossibility if he's planning on doing even half of what he wants to do. He may lower taxes initially, but in short order, they'll have to be higher than they are now.
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Craig Markley Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 16 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 3969
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 5:26pm | IP Logged | 10
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I don't know about Palin in 2012 but watch for Mike Pence (R) of Indiana to make a run sometime in the future. He was supposed to make an opening speech at the Republican convention but was bumped due to the storms (I think it was storms)
I think Palin's lost it for me.
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Michael Roberts Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 20 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 14918
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 5:34pm | IP Logged | 11
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Jodi, you have no idea how surprising it was to hear you say that. Most
Obama supporters I know at work and on other forums believe their taxes
will be lower and stay lower than it is now, under Obama. That's just
an impossibility if he's planning on doing even half of what he wants
to do. He may lower taxes initially, but in short order, they'll have
to be higher than they are now.
---
I thought Jodi was talking about her tax bracket.
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Jason Czeskleba Byrne Robotics Member

Joined: 30 April 2004 Posts: 4639
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| Posted: 21 October 2008 at 6:17pm | IP Logged | 12
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I think it's fair to say that under McCain our taxes will go up too, regardless of what he says now. McCain is far to pragmatic to adopt a "no new taxes under any circumstances" approach. Something has to be done about the spiraling deficit, made worst by the costs in Iraq and the stimulus package. There's no way politically or practically that he could make enough cuts to balance the budget.
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